The return of Donald Trump to the White House in 2024 could signal a shift in U.S. foreign policy, particularly in how the U.S. interacts with global powers and seeks to address conflicts worldwide. Trump’s previous administration was marked by an “America First” doctrine, emphasizing strength, bilateral deals, and a departure from multilateral commitments. As he embarks on a potential second term, his foreign policy vision could foster both challenges and opportunities for international peace.

A Focus on Strategic Partnerships

One of Trump’s hallmark policies was strengthening relationships with key global allies while taking a hard line against adversaries. During his first term, his efforts to normalize relations between Israel and several Arab nations through the Abrahamic Accords were hailed as a significant diplomatic success​. If re-elected, Trump may prioritize similar initiatives, forging partnerships that focus on regional stability, particularly in the Middle East and South Asia​ .Countries such as Israel, India, and various Gulf states, including Qatar, have expressed optimism about Trump’s return, anticipating a strengthened alliance under his leadership. Israel, in particular, welcomed the prospect of a continued U.S. commitment to its security, particularly as tensions with Iran persist. Similarly, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi emphasized the potential for renewed collaboration on global peace and prosperity​.

The Trump Doctrine: “Peace Through Strength”

Trump’s approach to global power dynamics relies heavily on the principle of “peace through strength.” This concept suggests that military might and strategic deterrence, alongside assertive diplomatic moves, can preserve peace by discouraging adversaries from advancing hostile actions. Trump’s stance on North Korea, his withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, and his policies toward China are prime examples of this mindset​. However, critics argue that this approach might exacerbate global tensions, particularly if it leads to a more fragmented international order. While Trump’s tough stance may deter certain rogue states, his policies often alienated long-time allies in Europe, questioning the stability of multilateral frameworks like NATO. Despite these challenges, his strategy’s proponents argue that it brings clarity and resolve in dealing with authoritarian regimes​.

The Role of China and Russia in Trump’s Agenda

Under Trump, the U.S. adopted a firmer position on China, accusing the country of unfair trade practices and military aggression. Trump’s trade war with China and his strategic pivot to Indo-Pacific alliances were attempts to curb Beijing’s rising influence. If he returns to office, this confrontation with China could intensify, particularly as China strengthens ties with Russia and other authoritarian states​.This could lead to new geopolitical dynamics, potentially undermining global stability, depending on how both powers respond. On the Russian front, Trump’s relationship with President Vladimir Putin was often seen as contentious yet pragmatic. While some critics viewed Trump’s posture toward Russia as overly accommodating, his approach to defense spending in NATO and his stance on Ukraine were indicative of his focus on curbing Russian expansion​.

Challenges and Opportunities for Global Peace

While Trump’s return could lead to a more proactive and transactional approach to international relations, it remains to be seen whether his policies can foster long-term global peace. His reliance on military strength and limited diplomatic engagement may risk inflaming conflicts, especially in regions like Eastern Europe and the South China Sea. However, his penchant for bilateral agreements over multilateral treaties could also open pathways for stability through stronger direct negotiations with key global players. As the international community watches these developments closely, Trump’s second term could very well reshape the U.S.’s role in global peace efforts, depending on how his policies adapt to a rapidly changing world stage.